Saturday, 30 April 2022

Athletic Bilbao - Atletico Madrid: prediction "2"

The derby of the 34th round of La Liga opposes Athletic Bilbao and Atletico Madrid against San Mames. Following the success of Betis for the King's Cup, it is clear that the seventh position in La Liga will also be eligible to participate in European club tournaments. This gives the Basque club a chance to pursue it, currently four points behind Villarreal in this dispute.

Athletic Bilbao is in relatively good shape in the last five games. Last week we witnessed an incidental outcome in favor of the Lions as a guest. As many as five goals were scored during their visit to Cadiz, which was won 3: 2 after 3: 0 at the break. The loss from Celta a round earlier at home remained the only one for five matches, in which, however, Athletic never kept a dry net.

Atletico Madrid still can't be sure of their participation in the Champions League, although a four-point lead over fifth-placed Betis looks like a good distance five rounds before the end of the season. After a series of victories, it was expected that this would not even be a question for the Mattresses, but they stepped into a hole again.

Only four points were scored by Sofia from three matches with seemingly easy opponents. Struggling for survival, Mallorca ended a series of seven consecutive losses in La Liga, with minimal success over Atletico Madrid at home. After that, the "Mattresses" had an extremely hard time beating Espanyol at "Wanda Metropolitano" after a goal by Carasco for 2: 1 from a penalty in overtime. Last week, Griezmann and company did not even sign at 0-0 with Granada.

The first match between the two teams for the championship this season ended 0-0 in Madrid. This is the only match in the last five of the rivalry in which we see a dry net. There was no such thing in the semifinals of the Spanish Super Cup in January, which was won by Athletic Bilbao with 2: 1 after a complete turnaround. "San Mames" is an inhospitable stadium for all the greats from Spain, and Atletico has not been successful here in three consecutive visits.

We are used to the matches of Athletic Bilbao not offering many goals, but lately this is not the case, and throughout the season their hosts give a pretty good result of an average of 2.7 goals per game. In 63% of them, both teams on the field managed to sign, and the percentage for this event is 69% when visiting Atletico Madrid. There are only four matches with less than 2.5 goals, when the "Mattresses" are away, and the collected goals are as many as 24. Today I expect an exciting and equal match with at least one goal in both doors.

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